The final line for advancing to the post season of professional baseball is set at a winning rate of 50 percent. If the team fails to achieve a winning rate of less than 50 percent, it is difficult to dream of becoming an autumn baseball player. There are some cases in which players fail to advance to the post season even though they achieve a winning rate of more than 50 percent.스포츠토토
This season is different. Even Doosan, which ranks fourth in the league as of Thursday, saw its winning rate drop by 50%. At the match against Samsung in Daegu on the day, Doosan lost 3-7, allowing three runs each in the fifth and eighth innings. The team continued its slump at the end of the season, eventually losing five consecutive games, 64 wins, two draws and 65 losses, falling below 50% for the first time in 123 days since May 4 (18 wins and 19 losses).
If the team continues its performance on the day, the fourth-ranked Doosan and the fifth-ranked KT will join the fall baseball league. Since the first year of the KBO in 1982, only six teams have entered the fall baseball league with a winning rate of less than 50%. They are Samsung (57 wins, 5 draws and 58 losses, 0.496), Lotte (61 wins, 3 draws and 62 losses, 0.496) in 1991, OB (61 wins, 3 draws and 62 losses, 0.496), Hanwha (61 wins, 4 draws and 68 losses, 0.473) in 2001, Lotte (66 wins, 667 losses, 0.496 losses) in 2009, and KIA (70 wins, 1 draw and 73 losses, 0.490) in 2022. There has never been a case where two teams with a winning rate of less than 50% who may be able to advance to the postseason this season.
“Progress to the postseason below 500” usually comes in a season where the power of the lowest team is relatively strong. If the lowest team does not yield a victory, the performance of mid-ranking teams will naturally fall compared to other seasons.
Of the six seasons that advanced to the postseason below 500, the lowest-ranked team recorded a winning rate of more than 40 percent except 2009 and 2022. Only 10 times (excluding the two major leagues) of the last-place team’s winning percentage came out, and four of them, nearly half of them “advancing to the postseason below 500,” came out. Lotte in the 2001 season, when Hanwha was on the fall stage with a winning percentage of 0.473, recorded the highest winning percentage among the lowest teams ever with a winning percentage of 0.457.
The same is true this year. Despite sluggish performance for the past five consecutive years, Kiwoom has achieved a winning rate of 40 percent (0.421). As recently as on April 25, just before its fifth consecutive loss, Kiwoom had the lowest winning rate of 0.442 with 53 wins and 67 losses. It was when some predicted that Kiwoom could record the highest winning rate of the lowest team in history this season, beating Lotte in 2001.
With the fall baseball Maginot line of “50%,” competition to advance to the post season naturally intensified. As of the day, Hanwha (59 wins, two draws and 63 losses), which ranks sixth in win-loss margin of -4, and Lotte (57 wins, three draws and 63 losses), which ranks seventh in -6, are all seriously seeking to advance to autumn baseball. Even the eighth-ranked SSG (59 wins, one draw and 67 losses), which ranks eighth with a win-loss margin of -8, and the ninth-ranked NC (57 wins, two draws and 65 losses), are dreaming of a miracle in the last month.